Virtueller Medaillenspiegel Sotschi

Wie bereits bei den Olympischen Spielen 2012 in London hat Infostradasports auch für die Winterspiele in Sotschi einen virtuellen Medaillenspiegel erstellt. Dieser basiert auf den Ergebnissen seit  Vancouver 2010 (siehe unten).

Demnach holt Deutschland 33 Medaillen und holt damit nach Norwegen (36) die meisten Medaillen. Wenn man nur die Goldmedaillen zählt würde Deutschland mit 10 x Gold auf dem vierten Rang landen.

Hier gehts direkt zur Vorhersage: http://vmt.infostradasports.com/

Methodology

"Using performances in all winter sports events with world class fields from the 2010 Olympic Games in Vancouver to the present day, we are able to produce a prediction of the results for the 2014 Olympic Games in Sochi if they were held tomorrow. This forecast is in the form of the top-8 in order for each of the medal events at the Games and an overall medal table.

The VMT is a statistical model based on results in Olympic Games, World Championships and World Cups (or equivalent). It takes account of the following:

• Results. Points are awarded for every result based on rank. Big time or points differences are also rewarded as is dominance for athletes with few results.
• Time. A recent result is always worth more than an older one based on a continuous function.
• Competition. More weight is given to a result achieved in a World Championship or Olympic Games than in a World Cup event."